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AFC Wimbledon
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Newcastle logo

AFC Wimbledon
vs.
Newcastle

Coverage of the EFL Cup Third Round clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in League Two
Next Game: Bradford vs. AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Fulham vs. Newcastle
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 24.28% and a draw has a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.98%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
24.28% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 22.03% (0.107 0.11) 53.69% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.96% (-0.325 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.73% (-0.456 -0.46)38.27% (0.456 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.45% (-0.487 -0.49)60.55% (0.486 0.49)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.205 -0.2)28.84% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-0.256 -0.26)64.7% (0.256 0.26)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.67% (-0.208 -0.21)14.33% (0.209 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.84% (-0.406 -0.41)42.16% (0.407 0.41)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 24.28%
    Newcastle United 53.69%
    Draw 22.03%
AFC WimbledonDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 6.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.14% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.19% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.32% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 24.28%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.089 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.03%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.114 0.11)
0-2 @ 7.8% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 5.05% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 3.05% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.45% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.19% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.69%

Who will win Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Newcastle?

AFC Wimbledon
Draw
Newcastle United
AFC Wimbledon
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle United
100%
1
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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