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Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Wolves logo

Brighton
3 - 2
Wolves

Balepa (14'), Adingra (31'), Kadioglu (85')
Estupinan (36'), Hinshelwood (47'), Ferguson (62'), Moder (68'), Webster (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Guedes (44'), Doyle (90+1')
Sarabia (45+1'), Doyle (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Ipswich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Newcastle
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 2-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

With a mounting injury list, Brighton are likely to rest the majority of their key players from the start on Wednesday, handing Wolves a glimmer of hope as they aim to progress into the fourth round. That being said, the Seagulls have home advantage and should be able to book their spot in the next stage against a visiting side who have not won on their travels since February. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 68.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 14.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
68.98% (0.568 0.57) 16.95% (-0.152 -0.15) 14.06% (-0.413 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.41% (-0.588 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.64% (-0.22 -0.22)30.36% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.37% (-0.265 -0.27)51.62% (0.268 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.063999999999993 0.06)8% (-0.061100000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.155 0.16)28.2% (-0.153 -0.15)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (-0.68299999999999 -0.68)34.33% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.96% (-0.736 -0.74)71.04% (0.73999999999999 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 68.98%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 14.06%
    Draw 16.95%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.158 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.98% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.113 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.22% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.66% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.52% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.35% (0.064 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.06% (0.012 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.99% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 68.98%
1-1 @ 7.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.01% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.96% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 2.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 14.06%

How you voted: Brighton vs Wolves

Brighton & Hove Albion
82.7%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
17.3%
139
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2024 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Wolves
1-0
Brighton
Lemina (2')
Sarabia (73'), Sa (82'), Neto (89')

Fati (17'), Julio (63')
Jan 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Brighton
0-0
Wolves
Webster (82')
Cunha (45+2'), Dawson (54'), Kilman (73'), Gomes (90+2')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Wolves
1-4
Brighton
Hee-chan (61')
Dawson (17'), Hee-chan (63'), Nunes (76'), Kilman (88')
Nunes (90+5')
Mitoma (15'), Estupinan (46'), March (51', 55')
Gross (8'), Milner (18'), Enciso (19'), Estupinan (60'), Pedro (64'), Webster (90+5')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Brighton
6-0
Wolves
Undav (6', 66'), Gross (13', 26'), Welbeck (39', 48')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Wolves
2-3
Brighton
Guedes (12'), Neves (35' pen.)
Lallana (10'), Mitoma (44'), Gross (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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