We said: Bristol City 2-0 Lincoln City
Confidence levels in the Lincoln camp would have hit a new low with the weekend's FA Cup embarrassment, and meeting a higher-tier side will not help the discontent from the visiting end either.
Bristol City have not covered themselves in glory in recent weeks either, but Pearson's side should have enough quality to make it through to the next phase of the EFL Cup.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 37.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.