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EFL Cup
Lincoln City
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
West Ham logo

Lincoln
0 - 1
West Ham


O'Connor (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Soucek (70')
Soucek (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Lincoln City and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

West Ham United

All competitions
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Lincoln City 1-4 West Ham United

 With West Ham expected to make widespread changes, Lincoln will fancy their chances of upsetting the odds in this contest. Nevertheless, the Hammers have a deep squad with minimal injuries, leading us to predict a comfortable victory for the Premier League side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for West Ham United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for West Ham United.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawWest Ham United
32.67% (-0.119 -0.12) 24.99% (0.109 0.11) 42.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.96% (-0.417 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.521 -0.52)46.33% (0.523 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.39% (-0.493 -0.49)68.62% (0.494 0.49)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.9% (-0.327 -0.33)27.1% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.52% (-0.429 -0.43)62.48% (0.432 0.43)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)21.87% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (-0.332 -0.33)55.11% (0.334 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 32.67%
    West Ham United 42.35%
    Draw 24.98%
Lincoln CityDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.05% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 32.67%
1-1 @ 11.76% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 9.01% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
1-3 @ 4.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.32% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 42.35%

How you voted: Lincoln vs West Ham

Lincoln City
7.1%
Draw
7.1%
West Ham United
85.7%
42
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


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