MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 03:25:06| >> :60:2991:2991:
Newport County
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2020 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
Watford logo

Newport
3 - 1
Watford

Abrahams (18' pen.), Labadie (28'), Amond (65')
Labadie (42'), Bennett (80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Penaranda (54' pen.)
Stevenson (17'), Agyakwa (40'), Penaranda (62'), Pussetto (76')
Perica (89')

The Match

Match Report

Watford arrived at Rodney Parade unbeaten in their three outings this season but lost to League Two Newport.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup third-round clash between Newport County and Watford, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawWatford
41.18%27.29%31.53%
Both teams to score 49.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.82%56.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.76%77.24%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16%26.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86%62.14%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21%32.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64%69.35%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 41.17%
    Watford 31.53%
    Draw 27.28%
Newport CountyDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.57%
2-1 @ 8.49%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.17%
1-1 @ 12.9%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.81%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 31.53%

rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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