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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 54.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 22.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
54.6% ( -0.08) | 22.9% ( 0.03) | 22.51% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.71% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.8% ( -0.08) | 44.2% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( -0.07) | 66.58% ( 0.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.9% ( -0.05) | 16.1% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.5% ( -0.1) | 45.5% ( 0.1) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.39% ( 0) | 33.61% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.75% ( 0) | 70.25% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 54.6% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 22.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
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