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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Bilino Polje
Slovakia national football team

Bosnia H'vina
1 - 2
Slovakia

Hrosovsky (49' og.)
Gojkovic (35'), Basic (48'), Prevljak (58')
Gojkovic (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bozenik (52'), Satka (71')
Bozenik (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Bosnia-Herzegovina and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
Last Game: Luxembourg 4-1 Bosnia H'vina
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Slovakia

All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 4-2 Iceland
Thursday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Bosnia-Herzegovina 0-1 Slovakia

 Bosnia-Herzegovina have not drawn a single match in this group, while Slovakia have shared the points on just one occasion, so the statistics point to a home or an away win here. The hosts are capable of securing all three points, but we just fancy Slovakia to edge a close contest this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovakia would win this match.

Result
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawSlovakia
29.82% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 25.74% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 44.44% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.32% (0.096000000000004 0.1)50.68% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.42% (0.085000000000001 0.09)72.58% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.82% (0.022999999999996 0.02)31.18% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (0.025999999999996 0.03)67.51% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.26% (0.074000000000012 0.07)22.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.59% (0.105 0.1)56.41% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 29.82%
    Slovakia 44.43%
    Draw 25.73%
Bosnia-HerzegovinaDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.82%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.43%

How you voted: Bosnia H'vina vs Slovakia

Bosnia-Herzegovina
27.2%
Draw
19.8%
Slovakia
53.1%
81
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
2-0
Bosnia H'vina
Mak (13'), Haraslin (40')
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