MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 16:10:26| >> :120:73546:73546:
AFC Wimbledon
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Dagenham & Redbridge

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 2
Dag & Red

Stevens (45+8')
Harbottle (37'), Bugiel (89'), Tilley (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morias (35'), Rees (79')
Rees (79'), Justham (84'), Woodhouse (88'), Umerah (90+2'), Rutherford (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-2 Aldershot
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge

Due to the stakes and the potential of playing a Premier League side in the next round, expect this game to be a hard-fought affair. However, while Dagenham & Redbridge beat League Two opposition in the last round of the FA Cup, Wimbledon may prove too much for the mid-table National League side to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawDagenham & Redbridge
53.21% (0.994 0.99) 23.5% (-0.363 -0.36) 23.29% (-0.624 -0.62)
Both teams to score 54.71% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.01% (0.951 0.95)45.99% (-0.943 -0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.7% (0.894 0.89)68.3% (-0.88799999999999 -0.89)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.724 0.72)17.24% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (1.253 1.25)47.54% (-1.247 -1.25)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)33.89% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)70.56% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.21%
    Dagenham & Redbridge 23.29%
    Draw 23.5%
AFC WimbledonDrawDagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.168 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.29% (0.16 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.088 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.52% (0.13 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.122 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 53.21%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.263 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Dag & Red

AFC Wimbledon
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
Dagenham & Redbridge
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2016 7.45pm
Dag & Red
0-2
AFC Wimbledon

Labadie (36'), Cash (82')
Taylor (33', 61')
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
Apr 6, 2015 3pm
Nov 15, 2014 3pm
Jan 1, 2014 3pm
Dag & Red
1-0
AFC Wimbledon
Ogogo (10')
D'Ath (45'), Murphy (62'), Dickson (95')
D'Ath (57')

Antwi (66')
rhs 2.0
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