Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland United win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Auckland Rugby Union had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for an Auckland Rugby Union win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.