Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Congo DR had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Congo DR win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%).
