Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.