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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Aug 29, 2020 at 11am UK
Hitachi Kashiwa Soccer Stadium

Reysol
2 - 3
Kashima Antlers

Olunga (58', 84')
Takahashi (27'), Richardson (33'), Toshima (73')
Takahashi (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Misao (72'), Doi (89', 90+2')
Izumi (32')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashiwa Reysol and Kashima Antlers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashiwa ReysolDrawKashima Antlers
36.45%26.52%37.03%
Both teams to score 52.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.63%52.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95%74.05%
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29%27.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73%63.27%
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63%27.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.17%62.83%
Score Analysis
    Kashiwa Reysol 36.45%
    Kashima Antlers 37.03%
    Draw 26.51%
Kashiwa ReysolDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 8.09%
2-0 @ 6.25%
3-1 @ 3.46%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.45%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 9.83%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-2 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 3.53%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.27%
1-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 37.03%

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