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J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka)

Kyoto Sanga
2 - 1
Nagoya Grampus

Yamasaki (13'), Patric (90+2')
Kaneko (53'), Fukuoka (59'), Ota (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Izumi (62')
Inagaki (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kyoto Sanga and Nagoya Grampus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Yokohama
Saturday, July 8 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Kyoto Sanga 0-2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus should have no trouble breezing past a Kyoto Sanga side who have been very poor for large parts of the season. As such, we expect the visitors to record a 2-0 victory, which will keep them firmly in the hunt for top spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 44.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 26.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
26.99% (-0.408 -0.41) 28.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 44.48% (0.452 0.45)
Both teams to score 43.54% (-0.128 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.79% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)62.21% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)81.89% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Kyoto Sanga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.4% (-0.367 -0.37)39.59% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.72% (-0.341 -0.34)76.28% (0.33800000000001 0.34)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.08% (0.223 0.22)27.92% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.46% (0.285 0.29)63.53% (-0.287 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Kyoto Sanga 26.99%
    Nagoya Grampus 44.48%
    Draw 28.52%
Kyoto SangaDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 6.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.74% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 26.99%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.52%
0-1 @ 14.1% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 9% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 8.34% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.83% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 3.55% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 44.48%

Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 7am
Oct 8, 2022 6am
May 3, 2022 6am
Gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kyoto Sanga
Sakai (60')
Mendes (42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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