Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw has a probability of 22.3% and a win for Villarreal has a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Villarreal win it is 0-1 (5.57%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
57.52% ( -0.42) | 22.26% ( 0.22) | 20.21% ( 0.2) |
Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( -0.67) | 44.28% ( 0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( -0.65) | 66.65% ( 0.66) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( -0.36) | 15.14% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.28% ( -0.69) | 43.72% ( 0.69) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( -0.18) | 35.85% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( -0.18) | 72.63% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.27% | 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 20.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |