Marbella0 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 21 at 8pm in La Liga
for
We said: Marbella 0-2 Atletico Madrid
Marbella will have home advantage and certainly have the players to make this a tricky assignment for Atletico, but even with Simeone making a number of changes, it would be a massive shock if the visitors did not comfortably book their spot in the round of 16. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 75.35%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Marbella had a probability of 7.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.46%) and 0-3 (11.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Marbella win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marbella | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
7.39% ( -0.08) | 17.27% ( -0.09) | 75.35% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 34.49% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
