Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
67.12% ( -0.02) | 20.7% ( 0.01) | 12.18% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 41.81% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.08% ( -0.02) | 51.92% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( -0.02) | 73.67% ( 0.02) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.4% ( -0.01) | 14.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.31% ( -0.03) | 42.69% ( 0.03) |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.95% ( 0.01) | 51.05% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.63% ( 0) | 85.37% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 13.79% 2-1 @ 9.28% 3-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 67.1% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.12% Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.7% | 0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 12.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 27 | 30 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
4 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 18 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 18 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
11 | Sevilla | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 12 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |