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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Espanyol logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Espanyol

Felix (78')
Kondogbia (59'), Gimenez (83'), Felix (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Darder (62')
Olivan (34'), Braithwaite (53'), Lecomte (74'), Vidal (85'), El Hilali (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Espanyol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Espanyol
Friday, October 28 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Espanyol

It has not been easy to predict Atletico Madrid this season, but this one feels like too big a game for Diego Simeone's men to lose. Their visitors are notoriously poor travellers, aside from one shock victory, and should not cause too many problems for Los Colchoneros as they look to get back on the winning trail after a tough couple of weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 12.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawEspanyol
67.12% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02) 20.7% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 12.18% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 41.81% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)51.92% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)73.67% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.4% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)14.6% (0.016 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.31% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)42.69% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.95% (0.007000000000005 0.01)51.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.63% (0.0040000000000013 0)85.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 67.1%
    Espanyol 12.18%
    Draw 20.7%
Atletico MadridDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 14.33%
2-0 @ 13.79%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 8.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 67.1%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.45% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.12%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.7%
0-1 @ 5.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 12.18%

How you voted: Atletico vs Espanyol

Atletico Madrid
90.8%
Draw
5.0%
Espanyol
4.2%
119
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-1
Espanyol
Carrasco (52', 90+10' pen.)
Kondogbia (37'), Felipe (45'), Savic (76'), Llorente (88')
Kondogbia (71')
De Tomas (74')
Gil (30'), Lopez (33'), Vila (88'), Morlanes (90+3'), Vidal (90+9')
Sep 12, 2021 1pm
Espanyol
1-2
Atletico
De Tomas (40')
Moreno Peris (90+6'), Nico (90+11')
Carrasco (79'), Lemar (90+9')
Hermoso (31'), Kondogbia (82'), Carrasco (90+8'), Felix (90+11')
Mar 1, 2020 3pm
Espanyol
1-1
Atletico
Savic (24' og.)
Embarba (38'), Lopez de Lerma (90'), Sanchez (90')
Niguez (47')
Felipe (6'), Partey (42'), Koke (86'), Lodi (90')
May 4, 2019 3.15pm
Espanyol
3-0
Atletico
Godin (45' og.), Iglesias (52', 89' pen.)
Roca (38')

Morata (59')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico19135134122244
2Real Madrid19134243192443
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona197472725225
9Rayo Vallecano196762222025
10Real BetisBetis196752123-225
11Osasuna196762328-525
12Celta Vigo197392830-224
13Sevilla196582128-723
14Las PalmasLas Palmas196492429-522
15Getafe194781316-319
16Leganes194781829-1119
17AlavesAlaves194592131-1017
18Espanyol1944111731-1416
19Valencia1927101829-1113
20Real ValladolidValladolid1933121337-2412


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