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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Portsmouth


Whelan (20'), Ward (36'), MacDonald (68')
Quansah (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bishop (18', 69' pen.)
Tunnicliffe (77'), Morrell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

 Pompey would have been buoyed by their midweek away victory, and after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in August, we think that the visitors will have the edge over their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
29.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 25.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)50.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.62% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.058000000000007 0.06)22.69% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.083000000000006 0.08)56.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.69%
    Portsmouth 44.57%
    Draw 25.73%
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')
Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')
Apr 24, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Curtis (27')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Portsmouth
Ayunga (34', 44'), Leahy (70' pen.)
McCormick (6'), Williams (28')
Marquis (26')
Johnson (66'), Raggett (69')
Apr 21, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
P-P
Bristol Rovers
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Portsmouth
Rodman (78'), MacGillivray (93' og.)
Upson (29'), Ogogo (83')
Evans (9' pen.), Curtis (70')
Raggett (1'), McCrorie (39'), Curtis (69'), Burgess (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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