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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Portsmouth


Whelan (20'), Ward (36'), MacDonald (68')
Quansah (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bishop (18', 69' pen.)
Tunnicliffe (77'), Morrell (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Portsmouth

 Pompey would have been buoyed by their midweek away victory, and after beating Bristol Rovers 3-1 in August, we think that the visitors will have the edge over their opponents on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
29.69% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 25.73% (-0.02 -0.02) 44.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)50.72% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38% (0.056000000000001 0.06)72.62% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.71% (0.0040000000000049 0)31.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.65% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (0.058000000000007 0.06)22.69% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.65% (0.083000000000006 0.08)56.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 29.69%
    Portsmouth 44.57%
    Draw 25.73%
Bristol RoversDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.69%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.81% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.86% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 44.57%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth

Bristol Rovers
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Portsmouth
50.0%
8
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
3-1
Bristol Rovers
Ogilvie (32'), Pigott (82' pen.), Dale (90+2')
Pack (57'), Morrison (73'), Scarlett (88')
Collins (61')
Whelan (20'), Gibson (53'), Rossiter (72'), Finley (85'), Coutts (86')
Apr 24, 2021 1pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Bristol Rovers
Curtis (27')
Feb 16, 2021 7pm
Bristol Rovers
3-1
Portsmouth
Ayunga (34', 44'), Leahy (70' pen.)
McCormick (6'), Williams (28')
Marquis (26')
Johnson (66'), Raggett (69')
Apr 21, 2020 7.45pm
Portsmouth
P-P
Bristol Rovers
Oct 26, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
2-2
Portsmouth
Rodman (78'), MacGillivray (93' og.)
Upson (29'), Ogogo (83')
Evans (9' pen.), Curtis (70')
Raggett (1'), McCrorie (39'), Curtis (69'), Burgess (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe25156450272351
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield24145537191847
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2411493637-137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham248792424031
14Stevenage238781820-231
15Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
16Blackpool247983235-330
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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