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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Northampton Town

Lincoln
1 - 2
Northampton

Eyoma (61')
Bishop (41')
O'Connor (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guthrie (30'), Bowie (58')
Hondermarck (25'), Brady (26'), Bowie (45+2'), Simpson (90+4'), Hylton (90+9'), Odimayo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Bolton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Northampton Town

 There is very little to split these two teams in the league table right now, and that should lead to a closely contested game on Friday night. With each team looking to get back to winning ways, it would not be a surprise to see them cancel each other out and play to a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
40.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.47% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 32.01% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Both teams to score 48.77% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)56.76% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.29% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.7% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.48% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)62.97% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.25% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)32.75% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.69% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)69.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 40.5%
    Northampton Town 32.01%
    Draw 27.47%
Lincoln CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.47%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 32.01%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Northampton

Lincoln City
12.5%
Draw
75.0%
Northampton Town
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Northampton
2-2
Lincoln
Appere (86'), Hoskins (90+8')
Hoskins (80')
Hackett (22'), O'Connor (78')
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 25
Lincoln
2-1
Northampton
McGrandles (75'), Scully (84')
Bridcutt (77')
Rose (90+6')
Jones (36')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
0-4
Lincoln

Bolger (56')
Scully (2'), Hopper (42'), Johnson (83', 90+8')
Montsma (36'), Hopper (73'), Scully (77')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Lincoln
1-1
Northampton
Andrade (27')
Anderson (42')
Pierre (45')
Buchanan (13'), Goode (39'), Taylor (61'), Elsnik (67')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
First Round
Lincoln
3-2
Northampton
Anderson (16'), Pett (52'), Andrade (90')
Shackell (45'), Akinde (71'), Green (94'), Pett (99')
Bridge (55'), Van Veen (81')
van Veen (27'), O'Toole (36'), Turnbull (67'), McWilliams (75')
Morias (99')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Bristol Rovers2894152844-1631
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2986154555-1030
20Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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