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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
New York Stadium
Northampton Town

Rotherham
3 - 0
Northampton

Clarke-Harris (3', 33'), Green (49')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoskins (44'), Waghorn (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Rotherham United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 3-2 Tranmere
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Rotherham United 2-1 Northampton Town

With both teams having got wins on the board lately, this could be a higher-quality fixture than maybe it would have been a few weeks ago. Nevertheless, we are backing Rotherham to come through with the three points, potentially through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
60.91% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 22.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 16.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 46.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.06% (0.011000000000003 0.01)51.94% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.69% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)16.64% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (0.012 0.01)46.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.0019999999999989 0)80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 60.91%
    Northampton Town 16.36%
    Draw 22.73%
Rotherham UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 60.91%
1-1 @ 10.73%
0-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 3.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.15%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head
Mar 17, 2018 3pm
Northampton
0-3
Rotherham

van Veen (72')
Smith (18'), Ball (62'), Towell (81')
Taylor (14'), Ajayi (37'), Mattock (59')
Sep 30, 2017 3pm
Feb 2, 2013 3pm
Rotherham
3-1
Northampton
Pringle (75'), Noble (79'), Nardiello (42' pen.)
Nardiello (43'), Bradley (63'), Slew (85')
Carlisle (90')
Aug 21, 2012 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Rotherham
Hackett (26'), Nicholls (86')
Guttridge (63'), Akinfenwa (87'), Platt (90')
Pringle (42')
May 5, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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