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League One | Gameweek 19
Dec 9, 2024 at 8pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Peterborough United

Northampton
2 - 1
Peterborough

McGeehan (28', 84')
FT(HT: 1-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-0 Northampton
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Northampton Town 1-3 Peterborough United

Northampton's injury crisis has had an adverse effect on their recent form, and we think that the Cobblers could experience another disappointing result on Monday, especially as they tend to struggle in meetings with Peterborough, who we believe will do enough to clinch all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawPeterborough United
30.2% (-0.483 -0.48) 23.65% (0.047999999999998 0.05) 46.16% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 60.46% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (-0.48099999999999 -0.48)41.23% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.38% (-0.488 -0.49)63.62% (0.489 0.49)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84% (-0.547 -0.55)26.16% (0.546 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76% (-0.74 -0.74)61.24% (0.74 0.74)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.11% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)49.06% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 30.2%
    Peterborough United 46.16%
    Draw 23.64%
Northampton TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.28% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-0 @ 6.36% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 30.2%
1-1 @ 10.85% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.22% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.92% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.68% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.51% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 46.16%

How you voted: Northampton vs Peterborough

Northampton Town
22.0%
Draw
8.0%
Peterborough United
70.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Peterborough
5-1
Northampton
Mason-Clark (25'), Poku (28'), Randall (45'), Kyprianou (59'), Knight (64')
Mothersille (75')
Guthrie (9')
Bowie (39')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Northampton
1-0
Peterborough
Pinnock (90')
Hoskins (90+2')

Collins (17'), Kioso (82')
Apr 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Peterborough
3-1
Northampton
Szmodics (33', 48'), Clarke-Harris (67' pen.)
Beevers (42')
Hoskins (43' pen.)
McWilliams (56'), Rose (79'), Jones (90+4')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Hoskins (51'), Korboa (73'), Watson (85')
Thompson (33'), Brown (80')
Sep 3, 2019 7.30pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Peterborough

Wharton (29')
Kanu (21'), Dembele (24')
Thompson (63')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley208662926330
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011


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