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Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Lincoln City

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Lincoln

Feeney (10')
Ainsworth (5'), Perry (28'), Feeney (34'), Benning (61'), Pierre (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Connor (4'), Erhahon (32'), Hackett (71'), Duffy (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 2-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Reading
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Lincoln City

Cellar-dwelling Shrewsbury have struggled for clean sheets all season, failing to add to August's shut-out against Leyton Orient, and that pattern should continue against Lincoln. Despite the away side's ranking, their inability to win on the road in seven attempts, including a meek loss to relegation-threatened Crawley (3-0), suggests Thursday will be far from straightforward; thus, the spoils could be shared on Boxing Day, with both teams scoring. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 13.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawLincoln City
13.03% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02) 19.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 67.62% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.29% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.98% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)45.02% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)80.95% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)12.16% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)37.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 13.03%
    Lincoln City 67.61%
    Draw 19.36%
Shrewsbury TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 4.37% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 13.03%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 19.36%
0-2 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 8.53% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.81% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 4.5% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 67.61%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Lincoln

Shrewsbury Town
20.8%
Draw
12.5%
Lincoln City
66.7%
24
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Lincoln
3-0
Shrewsbury
Bishop (6'), Hackett (58'), Sorensen (67')

Bowman (23'), Bennett (42')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Shipley (19'), Anderson (78')
Hamilton (79')
O'Connor (31'), Roughan (40'), Sorensen (49'), Jensen (88')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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