League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Lincoln City
Cellar-dwelling Shrewsbury have struggled for clean sheets all season, failing to add to August's shut-out against Leyton Orient, and that pattern should continue against Lincoln.
Despite the away side's ranking, their inability to win on the road in seven attempts, including a meek loss to relegation-threatened Crawley (3-0), suggests Thursday will be far from straightforward; thus, the spoils could be shared on Boxing Day, with both teams scoring.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 67.62% . A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 13.03% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.15% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.53%) and 1-2 (9.7%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%) , while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (4.37%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood .
Result Shrewsbury Town Draw Lincoln City 13.03% ( -0.02) 19.36% ( -0.01) 67.62% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.03)
55.51% ( -0.01) 44.49% ( 0.01)
33.14% ( -0.01) 66.86% ( 0.01)
54.98% ( -0.04) 45.02% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.05% ( -0.03) 80.95% ( 0.03)
87.83% ( 0.01) 12.16% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 62.21% ( 0.02) 37.79% ( -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town 13.03%
Lincoln City 67.61%
Draw 19.36%
Shrewsbury Town Draw Lincoln City 1-0 @ 4.37% ( -0) 2-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.23% Total : 13.03% 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 19.36% 0-2 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.53% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.25% Total : 67.61%
How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Lincoln
Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Lincoln City
24
rhs 2.0
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