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Walsall
Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Sutton United

Notts County
3 - 4
Sutton

Langstaff (13' pen.), Crowley (33', 70')
O'Brien (68')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Jackson (6'), Smith (16'), Sanderson (64'), Lakin (77' pen.)
Adom-Malaki (22'), Goodliffe (31'), Lakin (51'), Hart (81'), Clay (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Notts County and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Colchester
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Notts County 2-0 Sutton United

Notts County's awful results should ease in Tuesday's rescheduled game against the league's bottom club, with the hosts expected to return to winning ways after recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 62.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
62.48% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92) 19.21% (0.243 0.24) 18.31% (0.688 0.69)
Both teams to score 61.92% (0.521 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.09% (0.048000000000002 0.05)32.91% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.38% (0.054000000000002 0.05)54.62% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.85% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)10.15% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.62% (-0.482 -0.48)33.38% (0.489 0.49)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.92% (0.74000000000001 0.74)31.08% (-0.735 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.6% (0.855 0.85)67.4% (-0.85000000000001 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 62.48%
    Sutton United 18.31%
    Draw 19.21%
Notts CountyDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-1 @ 7.36% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 6.3% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.3% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 4.21% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 2.46% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.92% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.48%
1-1 @ 8.44% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.111 0.11)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 19.21%
1-2 @ 4.93% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 3.69% (0.066 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.087 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.16% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Notts County vs Sutton

Notts County
79.3%
Draw
13.8%
Sutton United
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Sutton
5-1
Notts County
Kizzi (2'), Patrick (23', 51'), Beautyman (63'), Smith (78')
Eastmond (5'), Milsom (6'), Goodliffe (45+3')
McGoldrick (69')
Langstaff (4'), Bostock (37'), Baldwin (74')
Stone (15')
May 4, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 51
Notts County
3-2
Sutton
Rodrigues (8', 90+4' pen.), Wootton (48')
Reeves (13'), Kelly-Evans (40'), Miller (49'), Rawlinson (90')
Kelly-Evans (67')
Olaofe (20'), Bugiel (62')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Sutton
0-1
Notts County

Randall (88')
Wootton (90+4')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 30
Notts County
1-1
Sutton
Thomas (14')
Rose (82')
Beautyman (76')
John (56'), Ajiboye (90')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sutton
1-1
Notts County
Beautyman (11')
Beautyman (76'), Collins (92')
Wootton (52')
McCrory (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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