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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Exeter City

Carlisle
0 - 1
Exeter


Gibson (19'), Mellish (48'), Dickenson (55'), Simeu (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Amond (89')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

Last Six:
Last Game: Bradford 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Exeter City

Last Six:
Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 47.29%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawExeter City
25.55%27.16%47.29%
Both teams to score 46.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.58%58.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.98%79.02%
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.27%38.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.53%75.47%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.25%24.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.68%59.32%
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 25.55%
    Exeter City 47.28%
    Draw 27.15%
Carlisle UnitedDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 6.02%
2-0 @ 4.31%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.55%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 9.59%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 13.38%
0-2 @ 9.35%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-3 @ 4.35%
1-3 @ 4.13%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-4 @ 1.52%
1-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 47.28%

Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Exeter
2-1
Carlisle
Nombe (60'), Caprice (80')
Gibson (84')
Howard (60')
Mellish (43')
Jan 30, 2021 1pm
Carlisle
1-0
Exeter
Alessandra (9')
Anderton (90+2')

Parkes (83')
Oct 31, 2020 1pm
Exeter
1-0
Carlisle
Parkes (48')
Sparkes (53')

Toure (60')
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Exeter
P-P
Carlisle
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Carlisle
1-3
Exeter
Olomola (61')
McKirdy (71'), Sagaf (73')
Martin (36'), Martin (67'), Law (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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