MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:29:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Carlisle United

Crewe
3 - 2
Carlisle

Long (32'), Bogle (90+3'), Lankester (90+8')
Williams (35'), Knight-Lebel (86'), Conway (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ellis (21'), Harris (78')
Lavelle (8'), Neal (53'), Breeze (84'), Biggins (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-1 Crewe
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 Accrington
Sunday, December 29 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-0 Carlisle United

 Crewe have stayed undefeated on home soil since losing 5-0 to Chesterfield on August 17, although they have been held to four draws in the subsequent nine matches, including the previous two against Bradford City (1-1) and Colchester United (0-0). Despite their propensity for the odd stalemate, Bell's side should eke out a marginal win over second-bottom Carlisle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
39.91% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02) 27.46% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 32.63% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)56.55% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)77.54% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)27.71% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)63.27% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)32.22% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)68.71% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 39.9%
    Carlisle United 32.63%
    Draw 27.45%
Crewe AlexandraDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-1 @ 8.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.78%
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 32.63%

How you voted: Crewe vs Carlisle

Crewe Alexandra
88.9%
Draw
5.6%
Carlisle United
5.6%
18
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 18
Carlisle
1-1
Crewe
Sadi (2')
Harris (64'), Jones (72'), Kelly (81'), Neal (89')
Lankester (82' pen.)
Connolly (11'), Billington (12')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 24
Crewe
0-3
Carlisle
Feeney (6'), Moxon (46'), Dennis (72')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Carlisle
0-0
Crewe
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 25
Crewe
4-1
Carlisle
Ainley (17'), Powell (26', 31'), Anene (34')
Dale (72')
Iredale (56')
Sagaf (24'), Loft (30')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 13
Carlisle
2-4
Crewe
Hope (59'), Elliott (64')
Hunt (7'), Powell (27'), Porter (78'), Gethin (85' og.)
Nolan (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons24104103835334
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood237973028230
15Colchester UnitedColchester2561272928130
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!