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Championship header 2

League Two
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Swindon Town

Crewe
2 - 1
Swindon

Nevitt (13'), Baker-Richardson (71')
Thomas (56'), Rowe (72'), Nevitt (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Austin (30')
Kinsella (17'), Minturn (20'), Austin (34')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Colchester
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
32.78% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 43.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.34% (0.010000000000005 0.01)38.66% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.03% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.97% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)23.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)57.32% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.97% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)18.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.09%48.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 32.78%
    Swindon Town 43.86%
    Draw 23.35%
Crewe AlexandraDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.12%
2-0 @ 4.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.78%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 8.99% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 43.86%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Swindon
2-2
Crewe
Godwin-Malife (21'), Young (47')
McEachran (26'), Mahoney (82'), Blake-Tracy (87'), Brewitt (90+6')
Williams (60'), Adebisi (85')
Adebisi (15'), Powell (15'), Bell (16'), Williams (20'), Thomas (23'), Long (67'), Davies (90+2')
> Preview
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Crewe
2-1
Swindon
Thomas (82'), Tabiner (86')
Hepburn-Murphy (44')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
0-1
Crewe
Agyei (23' pen.)
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Crewe
0-3
Swindon

Robertson (79')
Reed (25'), Simpson (52'), Payne (79')
Williams (38'), Reed (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 30
Swindon
2-1
Crewe
Johnson (10' og.), Twine (90+4')
Thompson (84')
Lowery (5')
Lowery (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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