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Championship header 2

League Two
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The County Ground
Newport County

Swindon
1 - 0
Newport

Jephcott (51')
Gladwin (13'), Darcy (19'), Blake-Tracy (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lewis (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Swindon Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Newport
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Newport County

 Swindon have started to turn their form around recently and will be eager to put right the defeat against Northampton on Saturday, but we think Newport will be good enough to get a point at the County Ground, especially given their win at league leaders Leyton Orient on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 50.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
50.51% (3.011 3.01) 25.23% (-0.412 -0.41) 24.26% (-2.605 -2.61)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-1.114 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.77% (-0.309 -0.31)52.23% (0.305 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.06% (-0.266 -0.27)73.94% (0.262 0.26)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (1.171 1.17)20.69% (-1.175 -1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (1.815 1.82)53.29% (-1.819 -1.82)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-2.38 -2.38)36.46% (2.376 2.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-2.477 -2.48)73.24% (2.474 2.47)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 50.5%
    Newport County 24.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Swindon TownDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.75 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.264 0.26)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.553 0.55)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.169 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.278 0.28)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 50.5%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.091 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.223 -0.22)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.61% (-0.411 -0.41)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.514 -0.51)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.477 -0.48)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.187 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.258 -0.26)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 24.26%

How you voted: Swindon vs Newport

Swindon Town
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Newport County
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Swindon
0-1
Newport
Conroy (90' og.)
Lewis (28'), Azaz (90+1')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Newport
1-2
Swindon
Telford (74')
Demetriou (32'), Dolan (62')
Azaz (73' og.), Payne (88')
Gladwin (69'), Reed (82')
Nov 9, 2021 7pm
Swindon
1-0
Newport
Lyden (57')
Minturn (19')

Missilou (21'), Hylton (53'), Upson (90+3')
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Newport
2-0
Swindon
Sheehan (1'), Matt (49')
Matt (79'), King (90')

Grant (28'), Jaiyesimi (42'), Yates (90')
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Swindon
0-2
Newport
O'Brien (38'), Matt (82')
O'Brien (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213
> League Two Full Table


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