Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 9, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen3 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Aberdeen 0-2 Kilmarnock
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock's contrasting form leading into this game makes it hard to see any outcome other than Kilmarnock extending Aberdeen's poor form with a victory in this one. Warnock's side have struggled for goals in their past few games, and we expect Kilmarnock to keep a clean sheet in this one as they progress through to the semi-final of the Scottish Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.56% ( 0.01) | 24.3% ( -0.01) | 26.14% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
