Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.