Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Indodrill Stadium
Alloa1 - 0Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Alloa Athletic and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alloa 0-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Last Game: Arbroath 1-0 Inverness
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
11
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 39%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Arbroath |
39% ( 0.08) | 24.66% ( -0.02) | 36.33% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.96% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
