MX23RW : Thursday, November 28 04:36:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Bahia

Athletico PR
1 - 3
Bahia

Di Yorio (61')
Fernandinho (36'), Heleno (49')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stum (9'), Teixeira (15'), Luciano (78')
Stum (40'), Victor (79'), Fernandes (79'), Rezende (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Athletico PR
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Bahia

Athletico Paranaense boast the second-best defensive record in the division and will be confident of keeping Bahia at bay here. We can see the home team emerging triumphant, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.31%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
60.04% (1.307 1.31) 21.66% (-0.691 -0.69) 18.31% (-0.616 -0.62)
Both teams to score 53.11% (1.126 1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (2.057 2.06)44.41% (-2.055 -2.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (1.965 1.97)66.79% (-1.963 -1.96)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.62% (1.111 1.11)14.38% (-1.109 -1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.74% (2.113 2.11)42.26% (-2.112 -2.11)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.03% (0.519 0.52)37.97% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.26% (0.501 0.5)74.74% (-0.5 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 60.02%
    Bahia 18.31%
    Draw 21.66%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBahia
1-0 @ 10.58% (-0.53 -0.53)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.192 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.273 0.27)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.247 0.25)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.175 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.139 0.14)
5-0 @ 1.25% (0.128 0.13)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 60.02%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.36 -0.36)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.502 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.66%
0-1 @ 5.29% (-0.405 -0.41)
1-2 @ 4.96% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 18.31%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Bahia

Athletico Paranaense
70.2%
Draw
19.1%
Bahia
10.6%
47
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 34
Bahia
1-1
Athletico PR
Stum (73' pen.)
Duarte (65'), Stum (77'), Kanu (80')
Canobbio (87')
Moura (29'), Caca (46'), Canobbio (71'), Fernandinho (73')
Jul 16, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 15
Athletico PR
2-0
Bahia
Roque (24'), Erick (35')
Ivaldo (66'), Heleno (84')

Stum (63')
Jul 13, 2022 12.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Bahia
Erick (78'), Cardoso (90+4')
Davo (5')
Xavier (53')
Jun 22, 2022 11.30pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bahia
1-2
Athletico PR
Oct 9, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 25
Athletico PR
0-2
Bahia

Nikao (77')
Rocha Soares (44'), Gilberto (50')
Fernandes (79'), Otavio (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo362110556282873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras36217858312770
3InternacionalInternacional351811651292265
4FortalezaFortaleza351811649341565
5FlamengoFlamengo35189853381563
6Sao Paulo351781050371359
7Cruzeiro35139134038248
8Bahia35138144545047
9Corinthians351211124443147
10Atletico Mineiro361014124652-644
11Vasco da GamaVasco35127163753-1643
12Vitoria35126174049-942
13JuventudeJuventude361012144657-1142
14Gremio35118164145-441
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR35118163842-441
16Fluminense35109163038-839
17CriciumaCriciuma35911153949-1038
18BragantinoBragantino35813143645-937
19Cuiaba35612172744-1730
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3568212453-2926


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!