MX23RW : Saturday, November 16 01:28:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atletico Tucuman
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente Jose Fierro
Defensa y Justicia

Tucuman
1 - 1
Defensa

Tesuri (13')
Romero (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Molinas (32')
Molinas (33'), Fernandez (59'), Herrera (76'), Schamine (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Atletico Tucuman and Defensa y Justicia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-1 Tucuman
Sunday, June 2 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Defensa y Justicia

Saturday's encounter is difficult to call because of both sides' underwhelming results preceding gameweek five. Tucuman are winless in four games in all competitions, while Defensa have not recorded victory of any kind since mid-April, thus pointing to a share of the spoils at the Jose Fierro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Tucuman win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawDefensa y Justicia
45.64% (2.53 2.53) 29.03% (0.436 0.44) 25.33% (-2.969 -2.97)
Both teams to score 41.19% (-2.925 -2.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.43% (-2.709 -2.71)64.57% (2.705 2.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.41% (-1.955 -1.96)83.59% (1.952 1.95)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (0.040000000000006 0.04)28.44% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (0.052 0.05)64.2% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.57% (-4.123 -4.12)42.43% (4.12 4.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.19% (-3.741 -3.74)78.81% (3.738 3.74)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 45.64%
    Defensa y Justicia 25.32%
    Draw 29.01%
Atletico TucumanDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 15.17% (1.47 1.47)
2-0 @ 9.54% (0.934 0.93)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.189 -0.19)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 12.06% (1.15 1.15)
2-2 @ 3.51% (-0.456 -0.46)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.01%
0-1 @ 10.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.732 -0.73)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.588 -0.59)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.424 -0.42)
0-3 @ 1.27% (-0.339 -0.34)
2-3 @ 1% (-0.265 -0.27)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 25.32%

How you voted: Tucuman vs Defensa

Atletico Tucuman
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Defensa y Justicia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Defensa
3-0
Tucuman
Solari (13'), Fernandez (36' pen.), Barbona (45+3')
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 27
Defensa
3-1
Tucuman
Fernandez (21', 74'), Dominguez (83')
Coronel (71' pen.)
Apr 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Defensa
1-1
Tucuman
Merentiel (58')
Frias (38')
Lotti (16')
Gil Romero (46'), Tesuri (65')
Nov 24, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Tucuman
0-4
Defensa

Acosta (58'), Ortiz (67'), Bustos (85')
Merentiel (20'), Hachen (63'), Bou (67' pen.), Pizzini (76')
May 8, 2021 7.30pm
First Phase
Tucuman
5-0
Defensa
Toledo (15', 45'), Lamendola (80'), Lotti (84', 85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield22127335152043
2HuracanHuracan22119225111442
3Racing ClubRacing22114732211137
4River PlateRiver Plate2299430161436
5TalleresTalleres229942622436
6UnionUnion2210662421336
7Atletico TucumanTucuman229672122-133
8Boca Juniors228772723431
9Deportivo Riestra228772323031
10IndependienteIndependiente2261241914530
11BelgranoBelgrano227962725230
12EstudiantesEstudiantes227962523230
13Platense227961716130
14Instituto228592825329
15GimnasiaGimnasia227872019129
16Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2261062324-128
17San Lorenzo227781819-128
18LanusLanus226972228-627
19TigreTigre226882528-326
20Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2275101822-426
21Rosario CentralRosario226792322125
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba226792328-525
23Defensa y JusticiaDefensa226792330-725
24Independiente Rivadavia226791523-825
25BanfieldBanfield2257102028-822
26Sarmiento224991523-821
27Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2256111529-1421
28Barracas Central2237121029-1916


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