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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 20
Jan 26, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

AZ
1 - 2
Sparta

Meerdink (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mito (72'), Verschueren (90+5')
Eerdhuijzen (17'), Young (54'), Baas (88'), Neghli (90+1'), Neghli (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Roma
Thursday, January 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam

Despite the high of beating Roma, AZ will be negotiating a short turnaround for this fixture. With that in mind, we feel that they will have to battle their way to the three points in what may ultimately be a scrappy contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 49.46%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
49.46% (-2.028 -2.03) 23.8% (0.457 0.46) 26.74% (1.571 1.57)
Both teams to score 57.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.78% (-0.733 -0.73)44.22% (0.73200000000001 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.4% (-0.716 -0.72)66.6% (0.71600000000001 0.72)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-1.036 -1.04)17.98% (1.036 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-1.81 -1.81)48.83% (1.809 1.81)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.836 0.84)30.11% (-0.835 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.99299999999999 0.99)66.24% (-0.99299999999999 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 49.46%
    Sparta Rotterdam 26.74%
    Draw 23.8%
AZ AlkmaarDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.292 -0.29)
3-1 @ 5.47% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.33 -0.33)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.198 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.214 -0.21)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 49.46%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.058 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.41% (0.17 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.289 0.29)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.348 0.35)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.293 0.29)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.174 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 26.74%

How you voted: AZ vs Sparta

AZ Alkmaar
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
AZ Alkmaar
89.7%
Draw
3.4%
Sparta Rotterdam
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 13
Sparta
1-2
AZ
Lauritsen (16')
Bakari (45+2'), Eerdhuijzen (90+2'), Clement (90+6')
Koopmeiners (9'), Mijnans (73')
Mijnans (47'), Kwakman (59'), Poku (85')
Mar 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Sparta
1-1
AZ
Sugawara (25')
Clasie (38'), Belic (77')
Sep 17, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
2-0
Sparta
De Wit (18'), Pavlidis (19')

Verschueren (38'), Bakari (43'), van der Kust (81')
Apr 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 28
AZ
0-1
Sparta
Lauritsen (45+1')
Aug 14, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
Sparta
2-3
AZ
Van Crooij (1', 59')
Verschueren (36'), van Crooij (38'), Steijn (90+1')
Pavlidis (45+1' pen.), De Wit (57'), Milos (65')
Martins Indi (38'), de Wit (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax27214257203767
2PSV EindhovenPSV27184578324658
3Feyenoord27158461322953
4FC UtrechtUtrecht2715754839952
5AZ AlkmaarAZ27137747311646
6FC Twente27137753391446
7Go Ahead Eagles2713594943644
8Groningen2788112638-1232
9Fortuna SittardSittard2795133246-1432
10Heracles27710103548-1331
11Heerenveen2787123248-1631
12NECNijmegen2786134040030
13NAC BredaNAC Breda2786132945-1630
14PEC Zwolle2778123241-929
15Sparta RotterdamSparta27610112835-728
16Willem II2766152844-1624
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2746173456-2218
18Almere CityAlmere City2746171850-3218


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