Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Jul 4, 2024 at 11pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia2 - 0Juventude
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-1 Juventude
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
15
We said: Bahia 2-1 Juventude
Bahia have had a strong campaign thus far and are favourites going into this clash, despite their recent defeat - their perfect home record is a testament to their ruthlessness on home soil, and this will likely be too much to handle for Juventude, who have struggled on the road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 14.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
Result | ||
Bahia | Draw | Juventude |
64.84% ( 0) | 20.6% ( -0) | 14.56% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 48.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.47% ( 0.02) | 46.53% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.19% ( 0.02) | 68.81% ( -0.02) |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( 0) | 13.59% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.3% ( 0.01) | 40.7% ( -0.02) |
Juventude Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56% ( 0.01) | 44% ( -0.02) |