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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
33.14% ( -0.35) | 24.42% ( -0.06) | 42.44% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 59.11% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.41% ( 0.16) | 43.59% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.01% ( 0.16) | 65.98% ( -0.16) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( -0.13) | 25.49% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% ( -0.18) | 60.33% ( 0.17) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.33% ( 0.25) | 20.66% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.75% ( 0.4) | 53.24% ( -0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Coventry City |
2-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 33.14% | 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 42.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Burnley | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 38 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 20 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 32 |
8 | Watford | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 31 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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