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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Norwich logo

Birmingham
1 - 0
Norwich

Seung-ho (55')
Sunjic (76'), James (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-2 Swansea
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Norwich City

Birmingham have a way of escaping relegation at the last moment, and we reckon that it could be another memorable day at St Andrew's for the hosts. Norwich's away record has been poor this term, and with the playoffs essentially confirmed, there could be a drop in performance levels from the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNorwich City
35.21% (-0.591 -0.59) 25.12% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 39.67% (0.593 0.59)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.64% (-0.073 -0.07)46.36% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.35% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)68.64% (0.070000000000007 0.07)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.41% (-0.372 -0.37)25.59% (0.371 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (-0.511 -0.51)60.46% (0.511 0.51)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.81% (0.267 0.27)23.18% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.92% (0.39100000000001 0.39)57.07% (-0.39 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 35.21%
    Norwich City 39.67%
    Draw 25.11%
Birmingham CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-0 @ 5.51% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.67% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.068 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.082 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.037 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.67%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Norwich

Birmingham City
46.9%
Draw
14.3%
Norwich City
38.8%
49
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Norwich
2-0
Birmingham
Sara (55'), Rowe (60')
Sara (65')

Long (83')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
3-1
Birmingham
Nunez (27', 36'), Tzolis (90+4')
Colin (53')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Birmingham
1-2
Norwich
Hogan (50')
Omobamidele (63'), Hernandez (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Norwich
2-2
Birmingham
(Aggregate 2-2 | Norwich win 4-2 on penalties)
Sinani (45+1'), Sorensen (45+3')
Hugill (19')
Leko (53'), Tomkinson (79' og.)
Jutkiewicz (11'), Colin (71')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
1-3
Norwich
Sanchez (39')
Hogan (68'), Clarke-Salter (84')
Pukki (26', 76'), Skipp (90+5')
Zimmermann (19'), Vrancic (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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