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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Stoke logo

Birmingham
1 - 3
Stoke

Stansfield (69')
Miyoshi (12'), Bacuna (33')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Thompson (12'), Gooch (31'), Vidigal (53')
Vidigal (34'), Tchamadeu (51'), Bae (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Birmingham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Millwall
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 2-1 Stoke City

Birmingham have improved offensively during the last few matches and could display their progression against a Stoke side who are in the midst of a woeful winless run. The Potters looked more organised under the stewardship of Schumacher last time out, but we are predicting a Boxing Day defeat for the visitors at St Andrew's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawStoke City
33.61% (-0.897 -0.9) 25.51% (-0.386 -0.39) 40.88% (1.281 1.28)
Both teams to score 55.47% (1.093 1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.61% (1.501 1.5)48.39% (-1.503 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.47% (1.353 1.35)70.52% (-1.357 -1.36)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.173 0.17)27.51% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (0.22199999999999 0.22)63.02% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (1.327 1.33)23.47% (-1.33 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.51% (1.891 1.89)57.48% (-1.893 -1.89)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 33.61%
    Stoke City 40.88%
    Draw 25.5%
Birmingham CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.485 -0.48)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.38% (-0.285 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.35% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.31% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.61%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.215 -0.22)
1-2 @ 8.75% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 6.78% (0.108 0.11)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.175 0.18)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.171 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.144 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.19% (0.106 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 40.88%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Stoke

Birmingham City
57.4%
Draw
29.8%
Stoke City
12.8%
47
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Stoke
1-2
Birmingham
Baker (75' pen.)
Hogan (13'), Dean (67')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Stoke
2-2
Birmingham
Campbell (25', 52')
James (12'), Gardner (58')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Birmingham
0-0
Stoke
Hogan (49')
Clucas (57'), Powell (67')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Birmingham
2-0
Stoke
Jutkiewicz (42', 53')
Gardner (85')

Fletcher (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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