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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
33.61% ( -0.9) | 25.51% ( -0.39) | 40.88% ( 1.28) |
Both teams to score 55.47% ( 1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.61% ( 1.5) | 48.39% ( -1.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.47% ( 1.35) | 70.52% ( -1.36) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.48% ( 0.17) | 27.51% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.98% ( 0.22) | 63.02% ( -0.22) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.53% ( 1.33) | 23.47% ( -1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.51% ( 1.89) | 57.48% ( -1.89) |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 33.61% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.14) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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