Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
40.8% ( 1.56) | 27.53% ( 0.63) | 31.67% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 48.5% ( -2.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.95% ( -2.87) | 57.05% ( 2.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( -2.35) | 77.94% ( 2.35) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.55% ( -0.49) | 27.45% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.06% ( -0.63) | 62.94% ( 0.64) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% ( -2.95) | 33.15% ( 2.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% ( -3.39) | 69.75% ( 3.39) |
Score Analysis |
Boavista | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.8% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.52% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.48) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.29) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.42) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.3) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |