Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolivar3 - 1Palestino
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Bolivar 2-1 Palestino
The Bolivians always seem to do just enough to win at home, and that should give them a big confidence boost following the one-sided defeat they suffered on matchday five. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Palestino had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Palestino win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Palestino |
68.87% ( 0.15) | 16.71% ( -0.02) | 14.42% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 62.51% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
