MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 09:16:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 18, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
2 - 1
St Pauli

Bensebaini (43'), Guirassy (83')
Bynoe-Gittens (75'), Brandt (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Smith (78')
Smith (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Union Berlin 2-1 Dortmund
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-3 Mainz
Saturday, October 5 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 St Pauli

Although Borussia Dortmund have struggled for consistency in recent weeks, it is difficult to see them losing given the poor offensive record of the visitors. It would also be surprising if St Pauli managed to avoid defeat considering the strong home form of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 57.17%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 22.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 3-1 (6.9%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSt Pauli
57.17% (-1.334 -1.33) 20.35% (0.073 0.07) 22.49% (1.262 1.26)
Both teams to score 64.85% (1.654 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.81% (1.332 1.33)32.18% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.22% (1.537 1.54)53.78% (-1.538 -1.54)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (0.058999999999997 0.06)11.29% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.08% (0.132 0.13)35.92% (-0.132 -0.13)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11% (1.818 1.82)26.89% (-1.817 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (2.329 2.33)62.2% (-2.328 -2.33)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 57.17%
    St Pauli 22.49%
    Draw 20.35%
Borussia DortmundDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.22% (-0.492 -0.49)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.62% (-0.468 -0.47)
3-0 @ 5.25% (-0.344 -0.34)
3-2 @ 4.53% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 3.76% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.86% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.47% (0.1 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.095 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.08% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 57.17%
1-1 @ 8.7% (-0.151 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.222 0.22)
0-0 @ 3.04% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.17 0.17)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.19 0.19)
0-1 @ 3.99% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.229 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.62% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.5% (0.203 0.2)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 22.49%

How you voted: Dortmund vs St Pauli

Borussia Dortmund
87.9%
Draw
9.7%
St Pauli
2.4%
207
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Last 16
St Pauli
2-1
Dortmund
Amenyido (4'), Witsel (40' og.)
Braut Haaland (58' pen.)
Oct 28, 2014 7.30pm
Second Round
St Pauli
0-3
Dortmund

Gonther (84'), Maier (85')
Immobile (33'), Reus (44'), Kagawa (86')
Kehl (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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