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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
49.42% ( 0.24) | 24.74% ( -0.12) | 25.84% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.03% ( 0.42) | 48.97% ( -0.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% ( 0.38) | 71.06% ( -0.38) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% ( 0.27) | 19.84% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.06% ( 0.43) | 51.93% ( -0.43) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.67% ( 0.13) | 33.33% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.05% ( 0.14) | 69.95% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 49.41% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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