Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 14.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
66.61% ( -0.03) | 19.29% ( 0.02) | 14.09% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.51% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( -0.05) | 41.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.83% ( -0.05) | 64.16% ( 0.05) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.03) | 11.64% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.31% ( -0.05) | 36.68% ( 0.05) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.29% ( -0.02) | 41.7% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.82% ( -0.02) | 78.17% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 11.22% 1-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 19.29% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |