Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 63.08%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (7.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.