Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for AVS had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.