Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 4.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 4-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.6%), while for a St Mirren win it was 1-2 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Celtic in this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
85.22% ( -0.49) | 9.9% ( 0.44) | 4.89% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -2.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.93% ( -2.39) | 26.07% ( 2.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.7% ( -3.13) | 46.3% ( 3.14) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.79% ( -0.47) | 4.21% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.47% ( -1.52) | 17.54% ( 1.52) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.49% ( -1.93) | 50.51% ( 1.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.99% ( -1.36) | 85.01% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | St Mirren |
3-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.86) 4-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.77) 4-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.28) 5-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.33) 6-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.22) 6-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.26) 7-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.14) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.19) 7-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.71% Total : 85.21% | 1-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.69% Total : 9.9% | 1-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.14) Other @ 1.87% Total : 4.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 8 | 53 | 59 |
2 | RangersRangers | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 44 |
3 | Aberdeen | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 35 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 34 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
8 | Dundee | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 26 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |