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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Portimonense

Chaves
2 - 3
Portimonense

Hernandez (25' pen.), Correia (76')
Carraca (14'), Essugo (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (72'), Cassama (83'), Formiga (90+1')
Martins (45+1'), Guzzo (68'), Ventura (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-0 Portimonense

Desperate for points, relegation-battling Chaves hold a slight home advantage against winless Portimonense. Despite Chaves' poor form, their home record against Portimonense is strong. We expect a close encounter but the hope side are likely to edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawPortimonense
42% (0.45 0.45) 24.83% (-0.134 -0.13) 33.16% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.65% (0.358 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (0.507 0.51)45.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (0.481 0.48)67.84% (-0.483 -0.48)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.42899999999999 0.43)21.67% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.656 0.66)54.81% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)26.4% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.065999999999995 0.07)61.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 42.01%
    Portimonense 33.16%
    Draw 24.83%
ChavesDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Chaves vs Portimonense

Chaves
61.5%
Draw
38.5%
Portimonense
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
2-1
Chaves
Varela (14'), Carrillo (38')
Tornich (48'), Carlinhos (63'), Dener (85'), Amorim (89')
Sousa (87')
Correia (22'), Souza (90+6')
Mar 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Juninho (31'), Abass (73')
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Portimonense
1-0
Chaves
Estrela (19' pen.)
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Tormena (32'), Martinez (53'), Possignolo (55'), Paulinho (90')
Costinha (38')
Filipe (42'), Jefferson (54'), Campi (61'), Sen (73'), Maras (90'), Lionn (95')
Aug 18, 2018 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Marcao (27' pen.), Perdigao (31')
Paulinho (45'), Eustaquio (59'), Melo (70')

Nakajima (15'), Ewerton (23'), Manafa (42'), Lazaroni (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139


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