Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
42% ( 0.45) | 24.83% ( -0.13) | 33.16% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.65% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.5% ( 0.51) | 45.51% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.17% ( 0.48) | 67.84% ( -0.48) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.33% ( 0.43) | 21.67% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.19% ( 0.66) | 54.81% ( -0.66) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( 0.05) | 26.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.44% ( 0.07) | 61.56% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Portimonense |
2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.49% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 3.23% Total : 33.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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