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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Barrow win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barrow |
59.18% ( -0.06) | 21.28% ( 0) | 19.54% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 56.65% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.19% ( 0.08) | 40.81% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.8% ( 0.08) | 63.19% ( -0.08) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0.01) | 13.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.53% ( 0.01) | 40.46% ( -0.01) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% ( 0.11) | 34.53% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.75% ( 0.12) | 71.25% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barrow |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.34% 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 59.18% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.28% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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