Ligue 1 | Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
We said: Clermont 1-2 Lens
While a draw would not be a surprising outcome, Lens could nick a slender win in Clermont, extending their unbeaten run over the hosts and ending their opponent's two-game run without losing.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.05% . A win for Clermont had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.46%) . The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result Clermont Draw Lens 27.78% ( -0.01) 26.17% ( -0.02) 46.05% ( 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% ( 0.06)
46.53% ( 0.08) 53.47% ( -0.07)
25.01% ( 0.06) 74.99% ( -0.06)
65.83% ( 0.03) 34.17% ( -0.03)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 29.13% ( 0.04) 70.87% ( -0.03)
76.82% ( 0.05) 23.18% ( -0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.93% ( 0.07) 57.07% ( -0.07)
Clermont 27.78%
Lens 46.04%
Draw 26.17%
Clermont Draw Lens 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.78% 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.17% 0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.04%
How you voted: Clermont vs Lens
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rhs 2.0
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