MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 17:38:08| >> :60:287:287:
Corinthians
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena Corinthians
Bragantino

Corinthians
1 - 2
Bragantino

Garro (24')
Giovane (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sasha (72'), Candido (76')
Jadsom (57'), Mosquera (70'), Evangelista (85')
Corinthians win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Corinthians and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Fluminense 0-0 Corinthians
Sunday, August 18 at 1am in Brasileiro

Bragantino

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Bragantino 1-2 Fortaleza
Saturday, August 17 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 2-1 Bragantino (Corinthians advances 4-2 on aggregate)

 Corinthians may be having an underwhelming domestic season, but they have been solid in the Copa Sudamericana, especially on home soil where they have been perfect. Bragantino, on the other hand, are on a poor run and will have to take the initiative given that they are trailing in the tie, which is why we think they will be susceptible to fast breaks and lose this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
CorinthiansDrawBragantino
45.65% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05) 26.16% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 28.19% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)53.19% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.76% (0.045999999999992 0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)23.24% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)57.16% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.29% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)33.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.64% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)70.36% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 45.65%
    Bragantino 28.19%
    Draw 26.16%
CorinthiansDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.63% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 28.19%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Bragantino

Corinthians
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Bragantino
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Bragantino
1-2
Corinthians
Helinho (56')
Jadsom (72')
Giovane (6'), Magno (14')
Charles (42'), Garro (89')
> Preview
Aug 11, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 22
Corinthians
1-1
Bragantino
Magno (90+4')
Romero (21'), Hugo (62'), Magno (90+8'), Souza (90+9')
Helinho (39')
Raul (54'), Sasha (56'), Lucao (60'), Jadsom (88'), Magno (90+6'), Mendes (90+6')
Apr 20, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bragantino
1-0
Corinthians
Vitinho (5')
Mendes (27'), Sasha (38'), Ramires (40'), Mosquera (79')

Henrique (45+2'), Gustavo (71')
Nov 5, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Bragantino
1-0
Corinthians
Helinho (29')
Helinho (61')

Fagner (69'), Silva (78')
Jul 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 13
Corinthians
0-1
Bragantino

Fagner (35'), Moscardo (60'), Gassova (85')
Sasha (17')
Vinicios (85'), Santos (89')
> Preview
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