While Corinthians have been slipping in the league standings in recent weeks, they have maintained an impressive home record, unbeaten in their last five while scoring two or more in all but one of those matches.
Juventude, on the other hand, are winless on the road this season and are riding a five-match losing streak into this one having conceded two or more in each of those defeats. As a result, we feel the hosts will secure the points in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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