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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Doncaster Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Walsall |
43.04% ( 0.33) | 25.02% ( -0.42) | 31.94% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( 1.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.26% ( 1.87) | 46.74% ( -1.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.99% ( 1.73) | 69.01% ( -1.73) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.28% ( 0.95) | 21.72% ( -0.95) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.11% ( 1.44) | 54.88% ( -1.44) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.24% ( 0.98) | 27.76% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.66% ( 1.24) | 63.34% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.04% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.49) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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