Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
51.45% ( 0.95) | 23.1% ( -0.52) | 25.46% ( -0.43) |
Both teams to score 58.52% ( 1.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.92% ( 1.97) | 42.08% ( -1.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.52% ( 1.95) | 64.49% ( -1.94) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.56% ( 1.08) | 16.44% ( -1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.88% ( 1.91) | 46.12% ( -1.91) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.04% ( 0.71) | 29.97% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.92% ( 0.84) | 66.08% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.47) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.11% Total : 25.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |